Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 12.295020 13.763109 15.351685 17.200771 19.296977 21.603005 24.336763
2025-05-18 9.987318 11.933371 14.194005 17.023584 20.483790 24.594109 29.871382
2025-05-25 8.318670 10.513518 13.224723 16.841417 21.571741 27.592090 35.904382
2025-06-01 7.096958 9.425366 12.462807 16.753146 22.717616 30.804792 42.751378
2025-06-08 6.171608 8.567302 11.849237 16.731438 23.908432 34.226114 50.462347
2025-06-15 5.600213 8.098115 11.678830 17.270036 25.934078 39.103946 61.130726
2025-06-22 4.960851 7.435776 11.128485 17.148838 26.929872 42.567977 70.223557
2025-06-29 4.369036 6.762043 10.462993 16.736584 27.377425 45.197097 78.382142
2025-07-06 3.916897 6.244893 9.967388 16.511837 28.071553 48.300498 87.884220
2025-07-13 3.675945 6.035007 9.933864 17.042198 30.119720 54.045727 103.290020
2025-07-20 3.465563 5.848157 9.910241 17.575680 32.236381 60.229572 120.735899
2025-07-27 3.234191 5.596696 9.741106 17.814604 33.822846 65.635275 137.647628
2025-08-03 2.938728 5.206329 9.292071 17.493468 34.320997 69.061363 151.275136
2025-08-10 2.685284 4.865476 8.895803 17.223250 34.885508 72.731608 166.296930
2025-08-17 2.464937 4.563002 8.537826 16.981974 35.474943 76.560839 182.580326
2025-08-24 2.282485 4.313771 8.254722 16.856703 36.296106 81.052240 201.560195
2025-08-31 2.127952 4.103048 8.024267 16.811647 37.289115 86.117908 223.251879
2025-09-07 2.044111 4.024976 8.053993 17.337651 39.688222 95.017178 257.618319
2025-09-14 1.907606 3.824770 7.806661 17.206093 40.488269 100.049752 282.256749
2025-09-21 1.760065 3.587117 7.454430 16.786171 40.509097 103.058134 301.637318
2025-09-28 1.642323 3.401804 7.196805 16.556792 40.978472 107.355385 326.155892
2025-10-05 1.591750 3.357754 7.248581 17.086141 43.525578 117.929658 374.052782
2025-10-12 1.544082 3.315366 7.299262 17.619407 46.174122 129.337388 428.223404